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"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes) 30-32m 3.4% ▼−70Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? December 31 36% ▼−32Dancing with the Stars · Episode 5 Elimination Jackson Olson 56% ▲+24CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? Exactly 3.6% 46% ▲+23Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? March 31, 2027 63% ▲+23EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026? 32M+ 85% ▲+22What will the next Muse model family be named? Muse Flare 15% ▼−21Brazil Presidential election winner? Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−20Brazil Presidential Election Flávio Bolsonaro 83% ▲+19New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headlin… Jon Batiste 60% ▼−17Next leader out of power before 2027? Sánchez - Spanish PM 23% ▲+15Gemini 4.0 released by...? October 15 73% ▼−14Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? No solution by Dec 31, 2027 37% ▲+14When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Before Oct 30, 2026 20% ▲+13
OddsOnAir Live

Politics & elections

The 25 busiest politics & elections markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, by money traded in the last 24 hours. Odds as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC; every market's page is live.

Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro
83%
▲ +19 pts 24h
$6.1M traded today
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
• unch 24h
$1.6M traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

Brazil Presidential election winner?

Flávio Bolsonaro
84%
▲ +19 pts 24h
$1.4M traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen
45%
• unch 24h
$1.1M traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep
67%
▲ +2 pts 24h
$1.0M traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

Flávio Bolsonaro
>99%
▲ +61 pts 24h
$917K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
91%
• unch 24h
$801K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$545K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Jon Ossoff
17%
• unch 24h
$514K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep
64%
• unch 24h
$474K traded today
Kalshi

Texas Senate winner?

James Talarico
64%
▼ −0.5 pts 24h
$431K traded today
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
>99%
▲ +65 pts 24h
$422K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party
93%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$417K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance
20%
▼ −0.6 pts 24h
$402K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
14%
• unch 24h
$352K traded today
Kalshi

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

48
17%
▲ +3 pts 24h
$299K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance
50%
• unch 24h
$225K traded today
Kalshi

California Governor winner? (Person)

Xavier Becerra
96%
• unch 24h
$178K traded today
Kalshi

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Nithya Raman
60%
▼ −2 pts 24h
$175K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party
68%
▲ +3 pts 24h
$158K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance
45%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$150K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance
20%
• unch 24h
$136K traded today
Kalshi

Ohio Senate winner?

Sherrod Brown
64%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$130K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Democratic Party
64%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$125K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

2-4%
>99%
▲ +33 pts 24h
$112K traded today

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