The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance 17% +2
- AOC v. JD Vance 9.4% —
- AOC v. Marco Rubio 8.1% −14
- Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance 8.1% −4
- Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio 6.4% —
- Kamala Harris v. JD Vance 6.4% —
- Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio 3.1% —
- Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance 1.6% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$302K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 14% · Sep 29: 14% · Sep 30: 14% · Oct 1: 14% · Oct 2: 11% · Oct 3: 13% · Oct 4: 14% · Oct 5: 17%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Gavin Newsom (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.
Settlement sources: Republican Party; Democratic Party
See it on Kalshi ↗