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KalshiCloses January 6, 2030

2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 11% (a long shot, about one in 9) on Kalshi, as of Oct 24, 23:19 UTC.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%

The odds

as of Oct 24, 23:19 UTC
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11% —
  • Marco Rubio 10% —
  • Jon Ossoff 6% —
  • Andy Beshear 5% +1
  • Josh Shapiro 5% —
  • Kamala Harris 4% —
  • Pete Buttigieg 3.5% —
  • James Talarico 3.5% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$31K
Favourite, 7 days−1.5 pts

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 19Oct 2111%

Oct 19: 11% · Oct 21: 11%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice President as counted by Congress, or the person chosen by the Senate under the Twelfth Amendment if no candidate receives a majority. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources: U.S. Senate; National Archives and Records Administration

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