The odds
as of Oct 18, 23:19 UTC- June 30, 2027 7.5% +0.5
- December 31 3.5% −1.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$143K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
June 30, 2027, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 11: 7.5% · Oct 12: 7% · Oct 13: 7% · Oct 14: 7% · Oct 15: 7% · Oct 16: 7% · Oct 17: 7% · Oct 18: 7.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Prabowo Subianto ceases to be President of the Republic of Indonesia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Prabowo Subianto's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Prabowo Subianto and the government of Indonesia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗