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PolymarketCloses December 1, 2026

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google leads at 57% (about 6 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 1, 17:13 UTC. It's up 18 points in the last 24 hours.

Google 57% ▲ 18 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 1, 17:13 UTC
  • Google 57% +18
  • OpenAI 22% −3
  • Meta 10% −7.5
  • Z.ai 9.6% +1
  • Alibaba 8.5% −2.5
  • SpaceXAI 6% +3
  • DeepSeek 4.3% —
  • Xiaomi 3.5% −2
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+42 pts

Google, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 24Nov 158%

Oct 25: 18% · Oct 26: 14% · Oct 27: 16% · Oct 28: 27% · Oct 29: 42% · Oct 30: 39% · Oct 31: 40% · Nov 1: 58%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
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