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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2030

Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner

María Corina Machado leads at 47% (about 5 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 30, 03:21 UTC. It's up 12 points in the last 24 hours.

María Corina Machado 47% ▲ 12 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 30, 03:21 UTC
  • María Corina Machado 47% +12
  • Delcy Rodríguez 13% −7.5
  • Edmundo González 8.5% −12
  • Donald Trump 8.2% +7.6
  • Jorge Rodríguez 7.3% −2.6
  • Marco Rubio 5% —
  • Diosdado Cabello 3.8% −6.4
  • Henrique Capriles 2.6% —
Traded today$10K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+7.5 pts

María Corina Machado, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 27Oct 3047%

Oct 27: 56% · Oct 28: 42% · Oct 29: 38% · Oct 30: 47%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election. If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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