The odds
as of Oct 16, 04:26 UTC- Donald Brodie 22% −28
- Stefan Brodie 17% —
- Ryan Salame 13% −0.5
- Keonne Rodriguez 11% —
- Daniel Penny 7% +6
- Steve Bannon 6.6% —
- Matt Gaetz 6% —
- Joe Exotic 5.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$518K
Favourite, 7 days−12 pts
Donald Brodie, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 9: 32% · Oct 10: 30% · Oct 11: 49% · Oct 12: 28% · Oct 13: 36% · Oct 14: 31% · Oct 15: 22% · Oct 16: 22%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗