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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? December 31 36% ▼−32Brazil Presidential election winner? Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−20"Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office 12-13m 96% ▲+20Brazil Presidential Election Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−19New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headlin… Jon Batiste 60% ▼−17When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Before Oct 30, 2026 18% ▲+16SpaceX Starship 15th launch? Before Nov 13, 2026 84% ▲+16"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31? <150m 36% ▼−14Next leader out of power before 2027? Sánchez - Spanish PM 23% ▲+14Gemini 4.0 released by...? October 15 73% ▲+14How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? 5.4% 51% ▼−13Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? June 30, 2027 64% ▼−13US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? December 31 31% ▼−10GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? October 31 19% ▼−10
OddsOnAir Live

World

The 24 busiest world markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, by money traded in the last 24 hours. Odds as of Oct 5, 04:33 UTC; every market's page is live.

Polymarket ● AI analyst

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot
47%
▲ +2 pts 24h
$557K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31
72%
• unch 24h
$373K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 5
99%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$255K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31
18%
• unch 24h
$206K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes
16%
• unch 24h
$180K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
13%
▼ −2.7 pts 24h
$179K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes
2.5%
• unch 24h
$126K traded today
Polymarket

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Yes
5%
▼ −5.5 pts 24h
$126K traded today
Polymarket

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027
11%
• unch 24h
$77K traded today
Polymarket

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

November 30
78%
▼ −4.5 pts 24h
$59K traded today
Polymarket

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31
21%
▼ −0.5 pts 24h
$49K traded today
Polymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes
6.5%
• unch 24h
$47K traded today
Polymarket

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027
23%
• unch 24h
$45K traded today
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

June 30, 2027
64%
▼ −13 pts 24h
$42K traded today
Polymarket

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 31
31%
▼ −10 pts 24h
$35K traded today
Polymarket

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 31
6.5%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$35K traded today
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Yes
2.9%
• unch 24h
$32K traded today
Polymarket

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Yes
27%
▲ +6 pts 24h
$29K traded today
Polymarket

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Steve Witkoff
50%
▲ +1.5 pts 24h
$29K traded today
Polymarket

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31
65%
▲ +5 pts 24h
$28K traded today
Polymarket

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31
13%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$26K traded today
Polymarket

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Yes
3.9%
▲ +0.7 pts 24h
$26K traded today
Polymarket

Next leader out of power before 2027?

None before 2027
33%
▼ −0.5 pts 24h
$25K traded today
Polymarket

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro
71%
• unch 24h
$22K traded today

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