The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chiang Wan-an 71% −3
- Shen Bo-yang 31% +7
- Kuo Hsi 1% —
- Hsiao Wen-kan 1% —
- Tang Hsin-min 1% —
- Lin Chih-cheng 1% —
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$68K
Favourite, 7 days−9 pts
Chiang Wan-an, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 81% · Sep 29: 80% · Sep 30: 79% · Oct 1: 82% · Oct 2: 79% · Oct 3: 79% · Oct 4: 75% · Oct 5: 71%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Chiang Wan-an; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Chiang Wan-an wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Central Election Commission of Taiwan
See it on Kalshi ↗