The odds
as of Nov 5, 05:17 UTC- Cheng Chao-fang 70% +11
- Hsu Hsin-ying 30% −11
- Lin Szu-ming <1% —
- Chen Chien-hsien <1% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days−4.5 pts
Cheng Chao-fang, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 29: 66% · Oct 30: 57% · Oct 31: 50% · Nov 1: 59% · Nov 2: 59% · Nov 3: 59% · Nov 4: 59% · Nov 5: 70%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
See it on Polymarket ↗