The odds
as of Oct 6, 10:26 UTC- Magdalena Andersson 82% +1
- Ulf Kristersson 16% +3
- Ebba Busch 2.5% +2
- Jimmie Åkesson 1% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$139K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts
Magdalena Andersson, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 78% · Sep 30: 80% · Oct 1: 80% · Oct 2: 83% · Oct 3: 86% · Oct 4: 82% · Oct 5: 82% · Oct 6: 82%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Magdalena Andersson; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Magdalena Andersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Settlement sources: Riksdag
See it on Kalshi ↗