The odds
as of Nov 4, 19:14 UTC- Chance of yes 4.1% —
Traded today$13K
Traded in all$264K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 28: 4.2% · Oct 29: 4.3% · Oct 30: 4.3% · Oct 31: 4.2% · Nov 1: 3.9% · Nov 2: 3.9% · Nov 3: 3.7% · Nov 4: 4.1%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗