The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Ron DeSantis 15% +2
- Gavin Newsom 14% —
- Marco Rubio 9.8% +2
- Raphael Warnock 9.5% —
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9% −1
- Cory Booker 8.1% —
- Gina Raimondo 7.8% +2.4
- Rahm Emanuel 7.8% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$1.2M
Favourite, 7 days+6.7 pts
Ron DeSantis, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 7.9% · Sep 29: 7.8% · Sep 30: 8.4% · Oct 1: 9% · Oct 2: 8.3% · Oct 3: 24% · Oct 4: 14% · Oct 5: 15%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗