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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? December 31 36% ▼−32Brazil Presidential election winner? Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−20"Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office 12-13m 96% ▲+20Brazil Presidential Election Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−19New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headlin… Jon Batiste 60% ▼−17When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Before Oct 30, 2026 18% ▲+16SpaceX Starship 15th launch? Before Nov 13, 2026 84% ▲+16"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31? <150m 36% ▼−14Next leader out of power before 2027? Sánchez - Spanish PM 23% ▲+14Gemini 4.0 released by...? October 15 73% ▲+14How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? 5.4% 51% ▼−13Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? June 30, 2027 64% ▼−13US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? December 31 31% ▼−10GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? October 31 19% ▼−10
OddsOnAir Live

Culture

The 24 busiest culture markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, by money traded in the last 24 hours. Odds as of Oct 5, 04:33 UTC; every market's page is live.

Kalshi

Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Winner

Ezra Frech
45%
▼ −3 pts 24h
$167K traded today
Kalshi

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

The Odyssey
51%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$63K traded today
Kalshi

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 5 Elimination

Jackson Olson
56%
▲ +10 pts 24h
$34K traded today
Polymarket

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day
64%
▲ +2.5 pts 24h
$27K traded today
Kalshi

Oscar Winner: Best Actor

John Malkovich
37%
▼ −2 pts 24h
$23K traded today
Kalshi

Ebenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 45
75%
▼ −9 pts 24h
$18K traded today
Polymarket

"Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office

12-13m
96%
▲ +20 pts 24h
$17K traded today
Polymarket

"Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office

11-13M
66%
▲ +3 pts 24h
$16K traded today
Kalshi

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Zohran Mamdani
30%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$13K traded today
Kalshi

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s)

JAY-Z
51%
▲ +4 pts 24h
$9K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden
38%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$9K traded today
Kalshi

The Social Reckoning · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 45
96%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$8K traded today
Kalshi

Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100?

Yes
1%
• unch 24h
$8K traded today
Polymarket

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Yes
1.4%
• unch 24h
$8K traded today
Kalshi

Other Mommy · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 45
71%
• unch 24h
$7K traded today
Kalshi

Boston Calling Music Festival 2027: Headliners

Noah Kahan
37%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$7K traded today
Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

The Odyssey
49%
• unch 24h
$7K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners

Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue
76%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$7K traded today
Polymarket

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31?

<970m
94%
▲ +0.5 pts 24h
$7K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Callum Turner
48%
▼ −2 pts 24h
$6K traded today
Polymarket

Taylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31?

↑ 107m
83%
▼ −0.5 pts 24h
$6K traded today
Polymarket

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?

150 - 160m
62%
▲ +12 pts 24h
$5K traded today
Kalshi

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
94%
• unch 24h
$5K traded today
Kalshi

Oscar winner: Best Actress

Julianne Moore
64%
▼ −2 pts 24h
$4K traded today

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