The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Below 53 64% −0.5
- 53 14% —
- 54 11% +3
- 55 5.1% —
- 56 3.1% —
- Above 57 2.4% —
- 57 1.8% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$289K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
Below 53, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 66% · Sep 29: 66% · Sep 30: 66% · Oct 1: 63% · Oct 2: 63% · Oct 3: 63% · Oct 4: 64% · Oct 5: 64%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Below 53; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗