The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chiang Wan-an 72% −7
- Puma Shen 28% +5.7
- Kuo Hsi <1% —
Traded today$77K
Traded in all$522K
Favourite, 7 days−12 pts
Chiang Wan-an, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 83% · Sep 29: 82% · Sep 30: 81% · Oct 1: 84% · Oct 2: 83% · Oct 3: 80% · Oct 4: 72% · Oct 5: 72%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
See it on Polymarket ↗