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KalshiCloses January 20, 2029

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

The market puts it at 64% — about 6 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Chance of yes 64% −1
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$620K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 564%

Sep 28: 64% · Sep 29: 66% · Sep 30: 67% · Oct 1: 68% · Oct 2: 66% · Oct 3: 64% · Oct 4: 63% · Oct 5: 64%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes.

Settlement sources: Library of Congress

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