The odds
as of Nov 5, 01:18 UTC- Chuck Schumer 80% +16
- Brian Schatz 25% +20
- Chris Van Hollen 14% +5
- John Thune 2% −10
- John Barrasso 2% −2
- Tom Cotton 1% —
Traded today$12K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days+21 pts
Chuck Schumer, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 29: 59% · Oct 30: 60% · Oct 31: 60% · Nov 1: 60% · Nov 2: 60% · Nov 3: 63% · Nov 4: 86% · Nov 5: 82%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Chuck Schumer; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Chuck Schumer wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Each party’s Senate conference elects its own leader, and the leader of the party that holds Senate majority status serves as Senate Majority Leader. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: U.S. Senate
See it on Kalshi ↗