The odds
as of Oct 13, 02:44 UTC- 53 10% +3
- 52 9.5% −1
- Below 45 8.5% —
- 56 8.5% —
- 51 8% —
- 54 8% +3
- Above 56 8% —
- 45 6% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+5.5 pts
53, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 5: 4.5% · Oct 6: 5% · Oct 7: 7% · Oct 8: 7% · Oct 12: 8.5% · Oct 13: 11%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 53; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗