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KalshiCloses November 7, 2029

Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)

Conor Lamb leads at 47% (about 5 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 11, 00:36 UTC. It's up 34 points in the last 24 hours.

Conor Lamb 47% ▲ 34 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 11, 00:36 UTC
  • Conor Lamb 47% +34
  • Summer Lee 28% −9
  • Ahmed Moor 27% +1
  • Chris Deluzio 22% −22
  • Chris Rabb 9% —
  • Austin Davis 5% —
  • Chrissy Houlahan 4% —
  • John Fetterman 2% —
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+39 pts

Conor Lamb, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 3Nov 1147%

Nov 3: 7.5% · Nov 4: 11% · Nov 5: 10% · Nov 6: 8.5% · Nov 7: 9% · Nov 9: 8.5% · Nov 10: 11% · Nov 11: 47%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Conor Lamb; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Conor Lamb wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources: Democratic Party of Pennsylvania

See it on Kalshi ↗

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