The odds
as of Oct 18, 05:22 UTC- June 30, 2027 15% −15
- December 31, 2026 2.7% −0.7
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$26K
Traded in all$37K
Favourite, 7 days+7.5 pts
June 30, 2027, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 15: 8% · Oct 16: 28% · Oct 17: 15% · Oct 18: 16%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.
A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
See it on Polymarket ↗