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PolymarketCloses April 18, 2027

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen leads at 87% (about 9 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 14, 21:21 UTC. It's down 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Marine Le Pen 87% ▼ 0.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 14, 21:21 UTC
  • Marine Le Pen 87% −0.5
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 8.1% +4.3
  • Jordan Bardella 3.8% —
  • David Lisnard 2.8% −1.4
  • Gabriel Attal <1% —
  • Édouard Philippe <1% −3.7
  • Raphaël Glucksmann <1% —
  • Marine Tondelier <1% —
Traded today$12K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+9.5 pts

Marine Le Pen, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 12Oct 1487%

Oct 12: 82% · Oct 13: 88% · Oct 14: 87%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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