The odds
as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC- Jon Ossoff 17% —
- Gavin Newsom 14% +1
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% +1
- Kamala Harris 8.1% +1
- Andy Beshear 5.7% +0.5
- Pete Buttigieg 5.1% —
- Josh Shapiro 4.7% —
- Mark Kelly 4.2% —
Traded today$514K
Traded in all$231.9M
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Jon Ossoff, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 17% · Sep 29: 16% · Sep 30: 17% · Oct 1: 17% · Oct 2: 17% · Oct 3: 17% · Oct 4: 17% · Oct 5: 17%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Jon Ossoff; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Democratic Party
See it on Kalshi ↗