The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Democratic Sweep 49% −1
- Republican Sweep 16% —
- D-House, R-Senate, D-President 7% —
- D-House, R-Senate, R-President 6.3% —
- D-House, D-Senate, R-President 3.8% —
- R-House, D-Senate, R-President 2.1% —
- R-House, R-Senate, D-President 1.1% —
- R-House, D-Senate, D-President <1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$424K
Favourite, 7 days−2.5 pts
Democratic Sweep, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 52% · Sep 29: 52% · Sep 30: 55% · Oct 1: 50% · Oct 2: 50% · Oct 3: 50% · Oct 4: 50% · Oct 5: 49%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic Sweep; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Democratic party wins the House, the Democratic party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗