Moving
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? December 31 36% ▼−32Brazil Presidential election winner? Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−20"Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office 12-13m 96% ▲+20Brazil Presidential Election Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−19New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headlin… Jon Batiste 60% ▼−17When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Before Oct 30, 2026 18% ▲+16SpaceX Starship 15th launch? Before Nov 13, 2026 84% ▲+16"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31? <150m 36% ▼−14Next leader out of power before 2027? Sánchez - Spanish PM 23% ▲+14Gemini 4.0 released by...? October 15 73% ▲+14How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? 5.4% 51% ▼−13Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? June 30, 2027 64% ▼−13US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? December 31 31% ▼−10GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? October 31 19% ▼−10
OddsOnAir Live

Tech & science

The 24 busiest tech & science markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, by money traded in the last 24 hours. Odds as of Oct 5, 04:33 UTC; every market's page is live.

Polymarket

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31
3.1%
• unch 24h
$133K traded today
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude
51%
• unch 24h
$123K traded today
Kalshi

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029
23%
▼ −2 pts 24h
$79K traded today
Polymarket

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028
14%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$65K traded today
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google
68%
▲ +2 pts 24h
$58K traded today
Polymarket

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 2027
51%
▼ −3 pts 24h
$30K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Before Nov 13, 2026
21%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$29K traded today
Polymarket

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by...?

October 31
35%
• unch 24h
$26K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 31
36%
▼ −32 pts 24h
$25K traded today
Kalshi

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Gemini
69%
▲ +7 pts 24h
$25K traded today
Polymarket

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

November 30
96%
▼ −1.5 pts 24h
$23K traded today
Polymarket

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 31
93%
▼ −1.5 pts 24h
$23K traded today
Kalshi

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Denver, CO
83%
▲ +2 pts 24h
$11K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

Before Dec 11, 2026
95%
▲ +0.5 pts 24h
$10K traded today
Polymarket

What will the next Muse model family be named?

Muse Fire
19%
▲ +6 pts 24h
$7K traded today
Kalshi

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Gemini
17%
▲ +2 pts 24h
$7K traded today
Kalshi

Pandemic in 2026?

Yes
6.5%
▲ +2 pts 24h
$7K traded today
Polymarket

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes
4%
▼ −0.5 pts 24h
$7K traded today
Polymarket

New pandemic in 2026?

Yes
5.5%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$6K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

above 1490
32%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$6K traded today
Polymarket

OpenAI resumes training on...?

Not resumed by October 20
39%
▲ +8.5 pts 24h
$6K traded today
Kalshi

Next Gemini Pro model release

Before Nov 16, 2026
43%
▲ +7 pts 24h
$6K traded today
Kalshi

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Central African Republic
38%
▲ +3 pts 24h
$4K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+
32%
▼ −11 pts 24h
$4K traded today

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