The odds
as of Oct 29, 10:19 UTC- Chang San-cheng 95% +2.5
- Huang Shih-chieh 4.3% −2.3
- Perng Shaw-jiin <1% —
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$38K
Favourite, 7 days+12 pts
Chang San-cheng, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 22: 84% · Oct 23: 87% · Oct 24: 88% · Oct 25: 87% · Oct 26: 89% · Oct 27: 93% · Oct 28: 92% · Oct 29: 95%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
See it on Polymarket ↗