Moving
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? December 31 36% ▼−32Brazil Presidential election winner? Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−20"Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office 12-13m 96% ▲+20Brazil Presidential Election Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−19New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headlin… Jon Batiste 60% ▼−17When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Before Oct 30, 2026 18% ▲+16SpaceX Starship 15th launch? Before Nov 13, 2026 84% ▲+16"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31? <150m 36% ▼−14Next leader out of power before 2027? Sánchez - Spanish PM 23% ▲+14Gemini 4.0 released by...? October 15 73% ▲+14How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? 5.4% 51% ▼−13Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? June 30, 2027 64% ▼−13US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? December 31 31% ▼−10GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? October 31 19% ▼−10
OddsOnAir Live

Economy

The 24 busiest economy markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, by money traded in the last 24 hours. Odds as of Oct 5, 04:33 UTC; every market's page is live.

Polymarket ● AI analyst

Fed Decision in October?

No change
83%
• unch 24h
$537K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029
22%
• unch 24h
$194K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T
30%
▲ +1.3 pts 24h
$98K traded today
Kalshi ● AI analyst

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Fed maintains rate
83%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$71K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes
20%
• unch 24h
$55K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.3%
83%
▼ −4 pts 24h
$25K traded today
Polymarket ● AI analyst

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase
72%
▼ −2 pts 24h
$25K traded today
Kalshi

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,800 to 7,999.99
25%
▲ +3 pts 24h
$23K traded today
Kalshi

Recession in 2027?

Yes
19%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$21K traded today
Kalshi

Wyoming total coal production in 2026

Above 180 MMst
97%
▲ +1 pts 24h
$20K traded today
Polymarket

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes
79%
▲ +6 pts 24h
$19K traded today
Polymarket

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)
96%
• unch 24h
$18K traded today
Kalshi

Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026

Above 1,600 units
79%
▼ −6 pts 24h
$17K traded today
Polymarket

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change
94%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$14K traded today
Polymarket

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change
89%
▲ +6 pts 24h
$13K traded today
Polymarket

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA
85%
▼ −0.5 pts 24h
$13K traded today
Polymarket

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Yes
11%
▼ −0.5 pts 24h
$12K traded today
Polymarket

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 2026
65%
▲ +4 pts 24h
$12K traded today
Kalshi

How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

$115.01 or above
34%
▼ −1 pts 24h
$12K traded today
Polymarket

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

Yes
3.1%
▼ −1.4 pts 24h
$11K traded today
Kalshi

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
95%
• unch 24h
$11K traded today
Polymarket

US recession by end of 2026?

Yes
8%
▲ +0.5 pts 24h
$10K traded today
Kalshi

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

Yes
4.5%
• unch 24h
$10K traded today
Polymarket

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps)
63%
▼ −0.5 pts 24h
$10K traded today

More: Politics & elections · World · Tech & science · Culture