The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Before Jan 1, 2028 65% −1
- Before Mar 1, 2027 27% +2
- Before Jan 1, 2027 3.3% —
- Before Sep 1, 2026 1% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$3.2M
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Before Jan 1, 2028, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 65% · Sep 29: 67% · Sep 30: 67% · Oct 1: 67% · Oct 2: 67% · Oct 3: 66% · Oct 4: 65% · Oct 5: 65%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jan 1, 2028; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must hold the office when an impeachment resolution passes against him or her .
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗