The odds
as of Oct 8, 01:44 UTC- Michael Cohen 28% −1
- Keonne Rodriguez 17% —
- Larry Householder 13% —
- Tim Leissner 13% —
- Nicole Daedone 13% —
- Matt Borges 11% —
- Rachel Cherwitz 10% —
- Eric Adams 9.8% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$537K
Favourite, 7 days+7 pts
Michael Cohen, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 1: 25% · Oct 2: 28% · Oct 3: 28% · Oct 4: 27% · Oct 5: 30% · Oct 6: 27% · Oct 7: 28% · Oct 8: 28%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Michael Cohen; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Michael Cohen has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: White House; New York Times
See it on Kalshi ↗