The odds
as of Oct 12, 08:47 UTC- December 31, 2027 66% +6.5
- June 30, 2027 48% +2.5
- December 31, 2026 1.8% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$1.0M
Favourite, 7 days+7.5 pts
December 31, 2027, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 5: 56% · Oct 6: 56% · Oct 7: 55% · Oct 8: 55% · Oct 9: 53% · Oct 10: 59% · Oct 11: 71% · Oct 12: 66%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗