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KalshiCloses November 7, 2028

2028 Republican Presidential ticket

JD Vance and Marco Rubio leads at 40% (about 4 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's up 7 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • JD Vance and Marco Rubio 40% +7
  • Marco Rubio and JD Vance 10% −2
  • JD Vance and Erika Kirk 5.1% —
  • JD Vance and Sarah Huckabee Sanders 4% —
  • JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr. 3.9% —
  • JD Vance and Donald Trump 2.8% —
  • Marco Rubio and Glenn Youngkin 2.5% —
  • Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio 2.5% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$103K
Favourite, 7 days+13 pts

JD Vance and Marco Rubio, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 540%

Sep 28: 28% · Sep 29: 30% · Sep 30: 25% · Oct 1: 33% · Oct 2: 29% · Oct 3: 24% · Oct 4: 49% · Oct 5: 40%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, JD Vance and Marco Rubio; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Republican presidential nominee is JD Vance AND the Republican vice presidential nominee is Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.

Settlement sources: Republican Party

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

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