The odds
as of Nov 12, 03:19 UTC- Gabe Firment 96% +5.5
- Pat Moore 4% —
Traded today$12K
Traded in all$42K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts
Gabe Firment, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 5: 93% · Nov 6: 94% · Nov 7: 95% · Nov 8: 95% · Nov 9: 92% · Nov 10: 92% · Nov 11: 97% · Nov 12: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Gabe Firment; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the House member sworn in for LA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗