The odds
as of Nov 10, 23:13 UTC- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 54% +3
- Chuck Schumer 20% —
- Zohran Mamdani 5% —
- Letitia James 5% —
- Chi Ossé 4% —
- Ritchie Torres 3.5% —
- Lina Khan 3% —
- Pat Ryan 3% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+13 pts
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 3: 41% · Nov 4: 44% · Nov 5: 46% · Nov 6: 49% · Nov 7: 49% · Nov 8: 48% · Nov 9: 47% · Nov 10: 54%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Democratic Party of New York
See it on Kalshi ↗