The odds
as of Nov 10, 15:15 UTC- Chance of yes 19% −4.5
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 days+1.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 3: 18% · Nov 4: 25% · Nov 5: 22% · Nov 6: 22% · Nov 7: 20% · Nov 8: 21% · Nov 9: 23% · Nov 10: 19%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗