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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?

↑ 30% leads at 60% (about 6 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 11, 14:16 UTC. It's up 3.5 points in the last 24 hours.

↑ 30% 60% ▲ 3.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 11, 14:16 UTC
  • ↑ 30% 60% +3.5
  • ↓ 20% 59% +12
  • ↑ 35% 56% +28
  • ↓ 12% 6.5% −0.5
  • ↓ 10% 6.5% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$4K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+11 pts

↑ 30%, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Nov 10Nov 1160%

Nov 10: 71% · Nov 11: 60%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Ossoff's hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or is equal to or below the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which Jon Ossoff's hourly odds value is below the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or above the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for Jon Ossoff (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Jon Ossoff in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing Jon Ossoff from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for Jon Ossoff between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, a "↑" market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Ossoff is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No", and a "↓" market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Ossoff is not the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for Jon Ossoff in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/dem-nomination-2028.html and on Jon Ossoff's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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