The odds
as of Oct 5, 04:33 UTC- JD Vance 20% −0.6
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15% +1.5
- Jon Ossoff 11% —
- Marco Rubio 9% —
- Gavin Newsom 8.1% +1
- Kamala Harris 4% —
- Josh Shapiro 3% —
- Pete Buttigieg 2.8% —
Traded today$431K
Traded in all$712.9M
Favourite, 7 days−0.8 pts
JD Vance, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 21% · Sep 29: 21% · Sep 30: 21% · Oct 1: 21% · Oct 2: 21% · Oct 3: 21% · Oct 4: 20% · Oct 5: 20%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 04:33 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
See it on Polymarket ↗