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KalshiCloses January 20, 2029

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

The market puts it at 17% — about 2 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC. It's up 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC
  • Chance of yes 17% +1
Traded today$9K
Traded in all$726K
Yes, 7 days−1.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 517%

Sep 28: 17% · Sep 29: 17% · Sep 30: 17% · Oct 1: 19% · Oct 2: 17% · Oct 3: 18% · Oct 4: 16% · Oct 5: 17%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S. Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must be the sitting President as of the day. the Senate votes on conviction to be included in this market.

Settlement sources: U.S. Senate

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

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