The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chance of yes 33% +2
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$82K
Yes, 7 days−2 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 36% · Sep 29: 24% · Sep 30: 32% · Oct 1: 32% · Oct 2: 33% · Oct 3: 34% · Oct 4: 31% · Oct 5: 33%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗