The odds
as of Oct 28, 05:19 UTC- Maintains rate 50% +6
- Hike 25bps 50% −4
- Cut 25bps 3% —
- Hike >25bps 3% —
- Cut >25bps 1% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days−1.5 pts
Maintains rate, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 21: 56% · Oct 22: 56% · Oct 23: 54% · Oct 24: 53% · Oct 25: 44% · Oct 26: 50% · Oct 27: 50% · Oct 28: 50%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Maintains rate; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Bank of Canada takes the action of maintain the current rate at its Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Bank of Canada; Federal Reserve Economic Data; Bloomberg Terminal; Reuters; The Wall Street Journal; Financial Times; The New York Times; Associated Press; CNN; BBC; MarketWatch; Bloomberg News; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; ABC; CBS; Fox News; MSNBC; NBC
See it on Kalshi ↗