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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?

The market puts it at 13% — a long shot, about one in 8 — on Polymarket, as of Nov 12, 16:19 UTC.

Yes 13%

The odds

as of Nov 12, 16:19 UTC
  • Chance of yes 13% —
Traded today$26K
Traded in all$26K
Yes, 7 days−7.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Nov 12Nov 1213%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying company is any company other than NVIDIA and its subsidiaries or controlled entities. Companies founded or co-founded by Jensen Huang after market creation, nonprofit organizations, universities, foundations, and government bodies will not qualify. Roles at a nonprofit organization, foundation, or trust that controls or formally oversees a qualifying company (e.g., the OpenAI Foundation or Anthropic’s Long-Term Benefit Trust) will qualify. Roles Jensen Huang already held at market creation will not qualify. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying company will also qualify. Merely investing in a company (including investments by NVIDIA), entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, or working for an independent organization that collaborates with or provides services to a company will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying company, the relevant governance body, or Jensen Huang; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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