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KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

The market puts it at 8.2% — a long shot, about one in 12 — on Kalshi, as of Oct 6, 03:30 UTC. It's up 7.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 6, 03:30 UTC
  • Chance of yes 8.2% +7.5
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$183K
Yes, 7 days+1.6 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 28Oct 68%

Sep 29: 6.2% · Sep 30: 6.4% · Oct 1: 5.8% · Oct 2: 5.9% · Oct 3: 4.9% · Oct 4: 4.9% · Oct 5: 5.1% · Oct 6: 7.5%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If the Federal Open market Committee has an unscheduled meeting before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources: Federal Reserve

See it on Kalshi ↗

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