The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Earbuds/Headphones 16% +2.5
- Clip-on device for clothing 13% —
- Glasses 12% −3
- Watch 8% −0.5
- Ring 7.5% —
- Necklace 6.5% −3
- Computer (Laptop/Desktop) 5.1% —
- Phone 4.3% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$443K
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts
Earbuds/Headphones, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 12% · Sep 29: 10% · Sep 30: 13% · Oct 1: 18% · Oct 2: 11% · Oct 3: 14% · Oct 4: 16% · Oct 5: 17%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.
If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
See it on Polymarket ↗