The odds
as of Oct 8, 14:29 UTC- Above 190,000 meat pounds 94% —
- Above 220,000 meat pounds 79% −3
- Above 250,000 meat pounds 65% —
- Above 280,000 meat pounds 30% —
- Above 310,000 meat pounds 16% —
- Above 340,000 meat pounds 7.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$547
Traded in all$87K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 190,000 meat pounds, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 1: 94% · Oct 2: 94% · Oct 3: 94% · Oct 4: 94% · Oct 5: 94% · Oct 6: 94% · Oct 7: 94% · Oct 8: 94%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 190,000 meat pounds; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If RIDEM reports Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 is above 190,000 meat pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the QUAHOG landings figure in RIDEM’s Annual Fisheries Report: 2026. “Quahog” refers to the bay/northern quahog (Mercenaria mercenaria), also called the hard clam, and does not include ocean quahogs. RIDEM reports quahog volume in meat pounds. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Settlement sources: Rhode Island Department of Environmental Management, Division of Marine Fisheries
See it on Kalshi ↗