The odds
as of Oct 6, 01:39 UTC- Chance of yes 47% −7
Traded today$538
Traded in all$292K
Yes, 7 days+6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 46% · Sep 30: 43% · Oct 1: 45% · Oct 2: 51% · Oct 3: 47% · Oct 4: 49% · Oct 5: 47% · Oct 6: 47%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Bitcoin outperforms gold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The performance of gold will be determined by using ICE Data Service's prices provided by a variety of financial institutions. The performance of Bitcoin will be determined by using the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index.
Settlement sources: CF Benchmarks; ICE
See it on Kalshi ↗