Moving
Aruba vs Martinique Aruba 11% ▼−61Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...? December 31, 2026 76% ▲+60Namibia Women vs Rwanda Rwanda 83% ▲+53Moeller vs Ouakaa Aziz Ouakaa 67% ▲+40Abibsi vs Gavrielides Liam Gavrielides 90% ▲+40Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? Before Jan 1, 2031 68% ▲+38GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? November 12 12% ▼−37Austin Championship: Round 1 Scores R1: Sudarshan Yellamaraju under 69.5 strokes 84% ▲+37Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory Colom 0.3-0.6% 69% ▲+35Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...? December 31 28% ▼−33When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+? Before Nov 13, 2026 16% ▼−33Syrian troops enter Yemen by...? Yes 48% ▲+32New Zealand general election winner? National 42% ▼−31Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? Howard Lutnick 40% ▲+31
PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Jensen Huang resigned or removed & Nvidia above $4T end of 2026?

Resigned/removed; Over $4T leads at 40% (about 4 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 12, 13:16 UTC.

Resigned/removed; Over $4T 40%

The odds

as of Nov 12, 13:16 UTC
  • Resigned/removed; Over $4T 40% —
  • Resigned/removed; Under $4T 37% —
  • Not resigned/removed; Over $4T 16% —
  • Not resigned/removed; Under $4T 10% —
Traded today$26K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts

Resigned/removed; Over $4T, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Nov 12Nov 1240%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET and (2) whether Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026 is above $4 trillion. Options beginning "Resigned/removed" require Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA to be officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Options beginning "Not resigned/removed" require no such announcement by that time. Each option then names the result of the second component ("Over $4T" or "Under $4T"), as defined below. The option matching both results will resolve to "Yes", and all other options will resolve to "No". Jensen Huang resignation or removal: The departure will be considered to be announced when Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Huang has resigned or been removed, or will resign or be removed, as CEO of NVIDIA. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position; resignation includes retiring or stepping down as CEO, including to take another role at NVIDIA, and removal includes dismissal or termination by NVIDIA’s Board of Directors. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure through resignation or removal intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term through such a departure without a qualifying announcement, this component will be "Resigned/removed" if a qualifying resignation or removal occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the specified person ceases to hold the specified position by any other means, this component will be "Not resigned/removed". The primary resolution sources for this component will be official information from Jensen Huang and NVIDIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Nvidia market cap: This component is "Over $4T" if Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026 is $4 trillion or greater. Otherwise, it is "Under $4T". Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share c…
See it on Polymarket ↗

Economy

More markets like this

All →