The odds
as of Oct 28, 16:21 UTC- Exactly 2.50% 63% +17
- Exactly 2.75% 30% −11
- Exactly 1.75% 5% —
- Exactly 3.00% 3% —
- Exactly 2.25% 2.5% −1
- Exactly 1.50% 1% —
- Exactly 2.00% 1% —
- Exactly 3.25% 1% —
Traded today$828
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+15 pts
Exactly 2.50%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 21: 48% · Oct 22: 53% · Oct 23: 48% · Oct 24: 48% · Oct 25: 49% · Oct 26: 50% · Oct 27: 58% · Oct 28: 63%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Exactly 2.50%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. The “overnight rate target” refers to the Bank of Canada’s policy interest rate, not the Bank Rate, deposit rate, Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average, prime rate, bond yields, or any other interest rate. The market will resolve based on the Bank of Canada’s officially stated target for the overnight rate that is in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
Settlement sources: Bank of Canada
See it on Kalshi ↗