The odds
as of Oct 15, 05:24 UTC- Amazon 13% −5
- Netflix 9% —
- Disney 5% —
- Hulu 4% —
- Max 3% —
- Paramount+ 2.5% —
- Peacock 2.5% —
- Apple 2% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$192K
Favourite, 7 days−5 pts
Amazon, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 8: 18% · Oct 9: 18% · Oct 10: 18% · Oct 11: 17% · Oct 12: 18% · Oct 13: 19% · Oct 14: 19% · Oct 15: 19%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Amazon; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Amazon releases a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: company; authorized retailers and distributors of company
See it on Kalshi ↗