The odds
as of Nov 12, 01:18 UTC- Ian Buck 41% +32
- Colette Kress 22% —
- Jeff Fisher 8% —
- Rene Haas 7.5% —
- Jonah Alben 7% —
- Eric Schmidt 6% —
- Jay Puri 4.5% —
- Debora Shoquist 4% —
Traded today$57K
Traded in all$60K
Favourite, 7 days+32 pts
Ian Buck, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 11: 9.5% · Nov 12: 28%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Nov 12, 01:18 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Ian Buck; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Ian Buck is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for NVIDIA before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. An official announcement by NVIDIA is sufficient to resolve the market. The person need not begin the CEO position. Interim or acting appointments do not qualify. The full NEWROLE rules govern resolution.
Settlement sources: ESPN; ABC; The Information; MSNBC; NVIDIA; The Wall Street Journal; Wired; Semafor; Bloomberg News; CBS; NBC; Axios; The Washington Post; TechCrunch; CNN; Fox News; Reuters; The Athletic; The New York Times; Politico; the Associated Press
See it on Kalshi ↗