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KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Where will Jensen Huang work next in 2026?

SpaceX / xAI leads at 12% (a long shot, about one in 8) on Kalshi, as of Nov 12, 16:19 UTC. It's up 8 points in the last 24 hours.

SpaceX / xAI 12% ▲ 8 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 12, 16:19 UTC
  • SpaceX / xAI 12% +8
  • Intel 5% —
  • AMD 4.5% —
  • Tesla 4.5% —
  • TSMC 4% —
  • SoftBank 3.5% —
  • Oracle 3.5% —
  • Apple 3% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$41K
Traded in all$41K
Favourite, 7 days+8 pts

SpaceX / xAI, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 12Nov 1210%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, SpaceX / xAI; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Jensen Huang joins SpaceX / xAI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Joining in any capacity counts, including as an employee, executive, board member or advisor, even while Jensen Huang remains at Nvidia. An announcement that Jensen Huang will join a company counts as joining it, even if the role begins on or after Jan 1, 2027. The following do NOT count: Preliminary discussions, negotiations, or "talks" about potential employment Conditional offers that have not been accepted Unpaid speaking engagements, guest appearances, or one-time consulting Investments in a company, or partnership agreements between it and Nvidia, without an employment relationship

Settlement sources: Nvidia newsroom; AMD newsroom; Tesla official website; SpaceX official website; xAI official website; OpenAI newsroom; Intel newsroom; TSMC newsroom; Microsoft newsroom; Meta newsroom; Apple Newsroom; SoftBank Group newsroom; Oracle newsroom; Fox News; CBS News; CNN; Securities and Exchange Commission filings; The New York Times; The Wall Street Journal; Bloomberg News; Reuters; the Associated Press; The Washington Post; The Information; Semafor; TechCrunch; Axios; Politico; CNBC; ABC News; MSNBC; NBC News; Financial Times

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