The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Before April 2027 86% +1
- Before March 2027 11% +2
- Before February 2027 4% −3
- Before 2027 2.5% —
- Before October 1% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$5.1M
Favourite, 7 days+4.5 pts
Before April 2027, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 80% · Sep 29: 83% · Sep 30: 85% · Oct 1: 85% · Oct 2: 84% · Oct 3: 84% · Oct 4: 86% · Oct 5: 86%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before April 2027; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: company; authorized retailers and distributors of company
See it on Kalshi ↗